Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 92.962886 103.461939 114.130097 125.751012 138.023341 150.570209 164.339152
2025-08-17 75.239710 90.325376 106.281055 124.291019 143.937273 164.611209 187.905854
2025-08-24 65.350957 83.068557 102.367896 124.701119 149.599031 176.292397 206.869763
2025-08-31 56.689422 76.088907 97.807380 123.506704 152.702581 184.499822 221.421764
2025-09-07 51.209733 72.117170 96.085167 124.979862 158.312847 195.071984 238.209561
2025-09-14 46.835864 69.002786 94.975911 126.814431 164.038617 205.530663 254.659055
2025-09-21 41.644795 64.448685 91.799790 125.913277 166.343381 211.892638 266.300414
2025-09-28 36.344474 59.331646 87.596279 123.484596 166.605134 215.701599 274.850914
2025-10-05 34.809461 58.916216 89.050926 127.758784 174.673623 228.444667 293.569903
2025-10-12 32.697434 57.561867 89.199059 130.333308 180.639720 238.689105 309.374575
2025-10-19 29.427597 54.399945 86.868813 129.699597 182.635956 244.199591 319.626761
2025-10-26 26.470289 51.448835 84.639789 129.048144 184.493781 249.456103 329.508737
2025-11-02 24.252172 49.426283 83.558753 129.816083 188.093423 256.820158 341.938836
2025-11-09 21.648018 46.640193 81.320273 128.999036 189.666213 261.720304 351.445107
2025-11-16 19.672286 44.640989 80.030235 129.309768 192.561071 268.146669 362.707975
2025-11-23 17.386981 41.964465 77.667248 128.107480 193.477525 272.123950 371.015024
2025-11-30 16.125054 40.829095 77.393873 129.609011 197.758909 280.150682 384.129056
2025-12-07 15.070674 39.950921 77.430269 131.482625 202.484871 288.703428 397.866809
2025-12-14 13.334564 37.751348 75.451476 130.562470 203.585589 292.781214 406.204580
2025-12-21 11.363733 34.924678 72.408689 128.082501 202.594225 294.221894 411.311849
2025-12-28 11.207157 35.424967 74.342171 132.446687 210.464016 306.609650 429.665813
2026-01-04 10.654728 35.125240 75.034764 135.074801 216.069470 316.194302 444.631704
2026-01-11 9.415698 33.368777 73.418918 134.427941 217.359242 320.392696 453.039078